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Decadal-Scale Variation of South Asian Summer Monsoon Onset and Its Relationship with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation

机译:南亚夏季风爆发的年代际尺度变化及其与太平洋年代际振荡的关系

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摘要

The variation of the summer monsoon onset over South Asia was investigated by using long-term data of the onset over Kerala, India, during the 64-yr period from 1948 to 2011. It was found that the onset over Kerala shows variation on a multidecadal scale. In early-onset years, the sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly over the northern Pacific Ocean was very similar to the negative Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO). The stationary wave train related to the negative PDO reaches into central Asia and generates a warm anomaly, thereby intensifying the land-sea thermal contrast, which promotes summer monsoon onset over South and Southeast Asia. The correlation between the onset date over Kerala and the PDO has strengthened since 1976. Analysis of zonal wind in the upper-level troposphere for the period 1958-2002 indicates that the change in the correlation is related to the change in the wave train path. The wave train propagating from the northern Pacific Ocean to western Russia could propagate eastward more easily in 1976-2002 than in 1958-75.
机译:通过使用印度喀拉拉邦从1948年至2011年的64年期间的长期发病数据,对南亚夏季风爆发的变化进行了调查。发现喀拉拉邦的爆发表现出多年代际的变化。规模。在发病初期,北太平洋的海表温度(SST)异常与负太平洋年代际振荡(PDO)非常相似。与负PDO有关的固定波列进入中亚并产生温暖的异常,从而加剧了陆海热反差,从而促进了南亚和东南亚夏季风的爆发。自1976年以来,喀拉拉邦与PDO的开始日期之间的相关性得到加强。对1958-2002年期间对流层高层风的分析表明,相关性的变化与波列路径的变化有关。从北太平洋传播到俄罗斯西部的波列在1976-2002年比在1958-75年更容易向东传播。

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